Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.054643 0.064752 0.076096 0.089752 0.105729 0.123816 0.145829
2025-04-27 0.039400 0.052478 0.068823 0.090687 0.119092 0.154669 0.202527
2025-05-04 0.030449 0.044455 0.063500 0.091143 0.130062 0.182707 0.259088
2025-05-11 0.024862 0.039184 0.060071 0.092497 0.141259 0.211473 0.319763
2025-05-18 0.021339 0.035939 0.058561 0.095770 0.154960 0.244839 0.390807
2025-05-25 0.017372 0.031115 0.053630 0.092686 0.158090 0.262320 0.439699
2025-06-01 0.014840 0.028110 0.050977 0.092594 0.165579 0.287019 0.502479
2025-06-08 0.012635 0.025230 0.047987 0.091307 0.170612 0.307957 0.561196
2025-06-15 0.011321 0.023728 0.047142 0.093573 0.181959 0.340676 0.643660
2025-06-22 0.009815 0.021568 0.044707 0.092452 0.186832 0.362332 0.708715
2025-06-29 0.008424 0.019379 0.041851 0.090032 0.188791 0.378674 0.765574
2025-07-06 0.007198 0.017315 0.038909 0.086955 0.188939 0.391415 0.816751
2025-07-13 0.006527 0.016385 0.038239 0.088603 0.199102 0.425225 0.914068
2025-07-20 0.005859 0.015346 0.037175 0.089257 0.207298 0.456117 1.009322
2025-07-27 0.005262 0.014360 0.036073 0.089648 0.214942 0.486700 1.107404
2025-08-03 0.004798 0.013621 0.035423 0.090970 0.224808 0.523058 1.221859
2025-08-10 0.004491 0.013236 0.035564 0.094188 0.239442 0.571419 1.367944
2025-08-17 0.003902 0.011971 0.033305 0.091152 0.238808 0.585455 1.438381
2025-08-24 0.003526 0.011228 0.032271 0.091062 0.245324 0.616589 1.551572
2025-08-31 0.003145 0.010397 0.030870 0.089795 0.248699 0.640653 1.650663
2025-09-07 0.002941 0.010063 0.030775 0.092026 0.261365 0.688474 1.812182
2025-09-14 0.002641 0.009366 0.029542 0.090921 0.265062 0.714553 1.922866
2025-09-21 0.002335 0.008588 0.027947 0.088540 0.264972 0.731043 2.011169